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Battlegrounds trend in Trump's favor

For the last two months, the mainstream media has attempted to plant a false image in the minds of voters. Like an oasis in the desert, the Democratic faithful looked at Vice President Harris as if they thirsted for water. Although the aggregate numbers show the race as tied in the battlegrounds, a pattern has emerged in a few key states. The outcome is far from certain, but this is a troubling sign for the Harris supporters.

In Georgia, Trump leads Harris by 1.4% in the aggregate poll average, and in the last eleven polls, he is ahead of the Vice President in six of them. Harris comes out on top in three, but one of them is the far-left Bloomberg organization that historically favors Democrats, and in the other two, they are tied. Likewise, the last eleven North Carolina polls show Trump as victorious in six, Harris is triumphant in three, and they are tied in the other two. The polls are trending in Trump's favor, including the one from Bloomberg. Trump’s aggregate margin, however, is smaller at 0.7%.

In Arizona the average is 2% in Trump's favor., Arizona is materializing as Trump’s most robust battleground state as ten out of the last eleven polls show him outpacing Harris—her sole win is coming from a Bloomberg poll.

Lastly, in Pennsylvania - what many political scientists see as a must-win if Harris is to capture the White House, the aggregate of the polls puts Trump up by 0.2%. Although razor close, Trump finished first in four of the most recent polls, versus Harris’s two, - one of them being from Bloomberg. The remaining six polls have them tied in Pennsylvania.

Going down the stretch, the two candidates continue to seesaw as the Keystone state once again returns to Trump’s column, making him the odds-on favorite to win the electoral college. As of today, Trump is projected to capture 287 electoral college votes, thus being the second president to serve two non-consecutive terms. The other is Grover Cleveland.

With only 36 days to go, the electoral map favors Donald Trump. With that being said, this race is a coin toss, and the only poll that matters is election day.

Christopher Peeks is a disabled veteran who served in the Afghanistan War. He is a native of Locust Fork, Alabama in Blount County. He owns and manages the Alabama Political Contributor website.

Opinions expressed in the Alabama Gazette are the opinions and viewpoints of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views and opinions of the Alabama Gazette staff, advertisers, and/ publishers.

 

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